Sunday Summary – 02/05/2021
Good Morning
This is the sixth of the Sunday Summaries that I will be sending out, once a week,
To Intelligent Betting members to let them know how things have gone and, more importantly...
How things are going.
New PDFs
I have added some PDF reports to the eBook section of the website. These show Stall Bias for Flat Turf and Flat All Weather courses. The Stall Bias is also shown on the new Expert Cards (available to full members.)ROFT
ROFT stands for Roy's One For Today. Roy is in a unique position where he has access not only to all the Intelligent Betting data but also... Focus Ratings and Advance Ratings. And we talk every day. With this information he is in an ideal place to pick one highly considered tip every day. These are available to both full and free members. These are only available on the website at this address... ROFT You can see today's selection and previous results there.
Now, given this level of success we may restrict these selections to full members but, at the moment they are available to all members, free or full. Read more →
When I first started getting interested in Horse Racing Ratings...
The very first system that I came up with was based upon a horse's number of wins and places in its last 5 races.
It became the initial basis for Focus Ratings and is the fundamental basis for our own Really Simple Ratings (available for free to logged in free or full members.)
To show you what I mean, I took a database extract of the last 5 year's data.
On Monday I was supposed to be working on Distance Travelled but, something popped up.
Now, I know that Distance Travelled is going to be very important to us but...
This new thing could be even more important.
You see, Roy emailed me to let me know that one of our top rated RSR (Really Simple Ratings) horses had just won at an incredible price.
Windsor - 13:40 - Arboy Will won at 150/1 - 334.75 BSP
Click on the image to see it full size.
Arboy Will had a Forecast Price (my Forecast Price) at 9am of 33/1.
So, I had no choice to drop everything to investigate what happens to top rated horses which have a high Forecast Price.
Now, on last week's Saturday Summary, I mentioned that I was working on a daily report to show Distance Travelled; the distance that a horse has had to travel to its race.
Some of you were kind enough to point out that this information is available on the Racing Post website but...
This isn't really the information that I am after.
You see, the distance that a horse has to travel is largely dependant upon the location of it's Trainer's stable.
I know that that sounds obvious but,
Imagine that Black Beauty is being trained by Emma Owen (HP18 0EB) who is based at Aylesbury.
Now, Aylesbury is fairly central when you look at a map of all UK race courses.
Thus, it is possible (even likely) that Black Beauty doesn't have to travel too far to get to a race.
Now, think about Jean McGregor (no, I've never heard of her either but I do know that her post code is KY13 0RW) who is based in Kinross and has the honour of being the most northern registered trainer.
She generally sends her horse to Kelso and Perth but has had entries in Ireland and English courses such as Aintree and Uttoxeter.